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Italiano从阿富汗看台湾 View Taiwan from Afghan
来源 – 转载自:民报，文章内容并不代表本网立场和观点。
塔利班入主喀布尔
塔利班是发源於阿富汗坎达哈地区、逊尼派伊斯兰原教旨主义的武装组织，他们於2021年8月15日，在几乎没有任何军事武装冲突下，轻而易举、顺利地进入首都喀布尔，阿富汗政府内政部长米萨卡瓦随即表示愿意妥协，要与其在卡达举行谈判，并展开政权和平转移细节事务。
甘尼总统卷款而逃
当天有许多撤离、撤侨、逃离事件，一架美国空军 C-17 ，将大约有 640 名阿富汗平民，从喀布尔撤离到卡塔尔。阿富汗总统穆罕默德、阿什拉夫、甘尼（Mohammad Ashraf Ghani）， 也於当天晚间，带着装满四辆汽车和一架直升机的现金逃离，由於数量庞大多到无法全部塞装入机，而造成有些现金置放停机坪上。
前後十天政权易手
阿富汗政府在短短前後十天时间内，从8月6日到8月15日就变天政权易手，这简直令人不可思仪。美国总统拜登曾於4月14日宣布，在今年美国遭到911恐袭20周年纪念日前，将自5月1日开始，撤离所有驻防在阿富汗的美军。拜登说：「自从美军进驻阿富汗以来，已历经布希、欧巴马、川普及本人是第四位总统了，我不会把这个责任再交给第五位总统」。
拜登重申撤军正确
他也於7月8日公开宣布说，美国在阿富汗的军事任务将於8月31日结束，在911恐袭20周年纪念日划下句点。他相信阿富汗政府有30万正规军，可以抵挡塔利班7.5万野战军攻势。白宫发言人普莎琪也於7月6日说，拜登依然认为从阿富汗撤军是「正确」决定，而且信心满满地指出，阿富汗政府军在「训练和装备水平、以及人数上都胜过」塔利班。
夺权掠地势如破竹
然而事实摆在眼前，塔利班於7月7日就已控制阿富汗85%的土地，8月6日发动攻击以来一路势如破竹，8月8日就占领北方大城坤都士，8月12日攻占阿富汗第二大城坎达哈、第三大城赫拉特以及西南部各省份，8月14日占领北方第一大城马札里沙里夫。8月15日塔利班军队进入首都喀布尔总统府，总统加尼当晚即流亡塔吉克，政府代表宣布总统辞职，并向塔利班表示要和平转移政权，塔利班神学士终於在被推翻20年後，又重新掌权重返阿富汗执政。不过阿富汗第一副总统阿姆鲁拉、萨利赫，於8月17日毅然挺身而出，宣布依法他是合法的看守总统，愿意领导人民继续与塔利班对抗。结局如何，值得关注！
海神矛击毙宾拉登
美国在过去20年，布希总统因九一一事件，要求塔利班交出基地组织和宾拉登，在塔利班不予配合後，美国联合北约盟邦对阿富汗采取军事行动。欧巴马总统年代大幅扩充，美国在阿富汗的军事实力；於2009年达到高峰约有14万名士兵，击溃塔利班後，反恐战争仍在阿富汗持续。2011年5月1日，美国的三栖特战队在一次代号爲「海神之矛」的军事行动中，将隐居在巴基斯坦境内的宾拉登击毙。2014年，北约国际部队结束了在阿富汗的战斗任务，将安全责任交给了阿富汗军队。川普政府於2018年和塔利班之间开始和平谈判，并於2020年2月在卡塔尔达成了撤军协议：如果塔利班在14个月内遵守协议，美国和北约部队撤出。拜登总统於2021年4月14日宣布美国撤军，结束这场长达20年「最持久的战争」。
川普严训拜登走样
在过去20年当中，美国有多达3500名士兵阵亡，两万多人受伤。美国曾给予阿富汗多达2兆2千6百亿美元的捐款，并提供完整的维安军事训练，如今都化为泡影。川普总统在位时，曾强势明确地告知塔利班，要严守协议乖乖听话，否则将踏平其巢穴後果自负。谁知在拜登政府接手执行时，却完全走了样变了调。原本还预订在911廿周年时大事庆功，谁知竟於8月15日阿富汗甘尼总统，就已经垮台逃之夭夭了。拜登政府的执行力真是令人不敢领教，其情资系统荒腔走板、误判局势完全乱了套。
驻阿富汗旨在反恐
拜登在饱受各方指责後，於 8 月 16 日下午发表声明：「我们在将近 20 年前，带着清楚的目标前往阿富汗：捕抓 2001 年 9 月 11 日袭击我们的坏人，并确保阿凯达不得将阿富汗作为攻击我们的基地，我们做到了。我们严重削弱了凯达在阿富汗的基地组织。我们从未放弃追捕宾拉登，我们逮捕到他，那是十年前的事。我们在阿富汗的使命，从来就不应该是、替他们建立国家。也不是建立一个联合中央集权的民主。我们至今在阿富汗的唯一使命，就是防范恐怖组织攻击美国本土。」
精心策动不是巧合
中国国务委员兼外长王毅，於今年1月11日到缅甸访问，12日与缅甸国防军总司令敏昂莱会面，2月1日缅甸国防军就发动军事政变。同样王毅於今年7月28日，与塔利班第二号人物巴拉达尔毛拉率领的九人代表团在天津会面，8月6日就启动对政府军的军事攻击。或许有人会说这都是巧合，但相信最近全球各地所发生，一连串的动荡，包括缅甸、阿富汗、南海、台海及袭击世人的COVID-19大流行，都与中国脱离不了关系。因为中国正是，所有这些动乱的幕後臧镜人。
没国民党台早自决
阿富汗瞬间变天，在全球各地引起巨大回响与讨论。台湾那些亲共的政治人物例如，国民党主席候选人之一的朱立伦说，「加尼总统让我们想起，2008年前台湾有一个麻烦制造者的民进党总统；没有国民党，台湾就没有今天的繁荣。」 真是说得比唱得好听，满口胡说八道，事实正好相反。回顾1949年，是国民党流亡政府亡命逃往台湾；没有国民党，台湾早就已经住民自决、城了一个民主国家。
共军马卒摇旗呐喊
脱口秀主持人赵少康 说：「今天的阿富汗明天的台湾。美国不是台湾可靠的朋友，他们可以轻易放弃台湾，就像他们对阿富汗所做的那样。」赵本人将中华人民共和国视为可靠的伙伴，并强烈要求台湾被中国吞并，但他却又不愿衣锦荣归回到其祖国，只想在台湾当共产党的马前卒摇旗呐喊。在他的认知里，美国应该有义务来维护，国民党在台湾的既得利益；骨子里认为，台湾是中国不可分割的一部分，迟早要被中国并吞。
国党写照贪污腐败
其实阿富汗的变天，更让台湾人民清楚地看到1949年，当时国民党拥有海、陆、空绝对优势的军力，却不敌溃散共产党八路军的真实写照，就是因为贪污腐败不得民心啊。再说，当年嘶声力竭，要台湾人民反共抗俄的国民党高官，如今多少人却摇身一变为舔共的习前座客，真是无耻啊！世界之大无奇不有，不知这些人的国家认同是啥，是台湾、还是中国？
稳住阵脚要有担当
面对阿富汗变天局势，蔡英文总统发表看法表示：「台湾唯一的选项就是，让自己更强大、更团结、更坚定保护自己自。自己不作为，只依赖别人保护，不是我们的选项。」确实如此，台湾唯有稳住阵脚，才不会自乱脚步阴沟里翻船。其实更重要的是，蔡英文必须让全体台湾人民清楚，我们究竟是要为延续，苟延残喘的流亡政府中华民国而战，还是要为确立2300万台湾人的民主自由而战？
美台安全重要伙伴
因为，美国在旧金山和平条约授权中，被指定为台湾的主要占领权国，是有义务来维护保障台湾的国防与安全。但美国绝对没有义务，来替中华民国对抗中华人民共和国，去争取谁才是中国的代表。因为，台湾人民至今不清楚，究竟中华民国是要代表台湾、还是中国、或是两者都要？拜登说，美国从来不应该成为，任何国家的建设者。但美国作为台湾的主要占领权国，绝对是保卫台湾安全非常可靠的伙伴。
天助自助承担使命
所以，阿富汗政权更替对世界来说是一个很好的教训，天助自助者，自助而後人助。共产主义泯绝人性是邪恶的国度，远离它。美国是爱好和平自由的领航者，让我们与他携手并进。美国是不会为中华民国而战，绝对会扞卫台湾的安全、民主与自由；但建立台湾国，却是所有台湾人，自己必须去承担、扛起的神圣使命。
谢镇宽
加州、海沃
https://www.peoplenews.tw/news/f492792b-c210-4f23-99aa-dd826415fe27
民报
【专文】从阿富汗看台湾
文／谢镇宽（加州、海沃） 2021-08-19 14:20
View Taiwan from Afghanistan
Taliban took over Kabul
The Taliban are a Sunni Islamic fundamentalist armed group originating in the Kandahar region of Afghanistan. They entered the capital Kabul easily and smoothly on August 15, 2021, with almost no military armed conflicts. The Minister of the Interior of the Afghan Government Misakava immediately expressed his willingness to compromise, to hold talks with him in Qatar and start the details of the peaceful transfer of power.
President Ghani fled with cash
There were many evacuations of Afghan citizens and foreign civilians, and escape incidents that day. A U.S. Air Force C-17 evacuated approximately 640 Afghan civilians from Kabul to Qatar. The Afghan Presidents Mohammad Ashraf Ghani also fled that night with four cars and a helicopter full of cash. The number was so large it would not all fit in, so left some money behind.
Ten days then power changed hands
The Afghan government changed hands from August 6 to August 15 in just ten days, which is simply incredible. U.S. President Biden announced on April 14 that before the 20th anniversary of the September 11 terrorist attacks this year, all U.S. troops stationed in Afghanistan will be withdrawn begin from May 1. Biden said: “Since the US military entered Afghanistan, it has gone through Bush, Obama, Trump and me. I am the fourth president. I will not pass this responsibility to a fifth president.”
Biden reiterated that the withdrawal was correct
He also publicly announced on July 8 that the US military mission in Afghanistan will end on August 31, marking the end of the 20th anniversary of the 9/11 terrorist attacks. He believes that the Afghan government has 300,000 regular troops and can withstand the Taliban’s 75,000 field army offensive. White House Spokesperson Pusaki also said on July 6 that Biden still believes that the withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan is the “correct” decision, and confidently pointed out that the Afghan government forces “excelled in terms of training and equipment levels, as well as numbers over Taliban.
Seize power and plunder the terrain like broken bamboo
However, the facts are in front of us. The Taliban already controlled 85% of Afghan land on July 7. Since the attack on August 6, they occupied the northern city of Kunduz on August 8. Kandahar, the second largest city, Herat, the third largest city, and the provinces in the southwest, occupied Mazar-i-Sharif, the largest city in the north on August 14. On August 15th, the Taliban army entered the presidential palace in Kabul. President Ghani went into exile in Tajikistan that night. Government representatives announced the president’s resignation and expressed to the Taliban that they wanted to transfer power peacefully. The Taliban theology finally regained power 20 years after being overthrown. Return to Afghanistan to govern. However, Amrullah Saleh, the first vice presidents of Afghanistan, stepped forward resolutely on August 17 and declared that he was the legal caretaker president in accordance with the law and was willing to lead the people to continue confronting the Taliban. What is the ending, stay tune”Operation Neptune Spear”. In 2014, NATO International Forces ended their combat mission in Afghanistan and handed over security responsibility to the Afghan army. The Trump administration began peace talks with the Taliban in 2018 and reached a withdrawal agreement in Qatar in February 2020: If the Taliban comply with the agreement within 14 months, the U.S. and NATO forces will withdraw. President Biden announced the withdrawal of the United States on April 14, 2021, ending the 20-year “longest war.”
Trump toughed but Biden goes wrong
In the past 20 years, as many as 3,500 American soldiers have been killed and more than 20,000 injured. The United States once gave Afghanistan as much as US$2,260 billion in donations and provided complete security military training, but now they have all come to nothing. When President Trump was in power, he strongly and clearly told the Taliban to strictly abide by the agreement and obediently, otherwise they would flatten their lair at their own risk. Unexpectedly, when the Biden administration took over the implementation, it completely changed its tone. It was originally scheduled to celebrate the twentieth anniversary of September 11th. Unexpectedly, on August 15th, President Ghani of Afghanistan had already collapsed and fled. The executive power of the Biden administration is daunting, and his central intelligence system is ill-fated, and misjudgment is completely messed up.
Stationed in Afghanistan to prevent a terrorist attack
After being criticized by various parties, Biden issued a statement on the afternoon of August 16th: ” We went to Afghanistan almost 20 years ago with clear goals: get those who attacked us on September 11th, 2001, and make sure al Qaeda could not use Afghanistan as a base from which to attack us again.
We did that. We severely degraded al Qaeda in Afghanistan. We never gave up the hunt for Osama bin Laden, and we got him. That was a decade ago. Our mission in Afghanistan was never supposed to have been nation building. It was never supposed to be creating a unified, centralized democracy.
Our only vital national interest in Afghanistan remains today what it has always been: preventing a terrorist attack on American homeland.”
Well plan not a coincidence
Chinese State Councilor and Foreign Minister Wang Yi visited Myanmar on January 11 this year and met with the commander-in-chief of the Myanmar National Defense Forces Min Aung Lai on the 12th. The Myanmar National Defense Forces launched a military coup on February 1. Similarly, Wang Yi met in Tianjin on July 28 this year with a nine-member delegation led by Mullah Baradar, the second figure of the Taliban, and launched a military attack on government forces on August 6. Some people may say that this is a coincidence, but it is believed that a series of turbulences that have occurred in various parts of the world recently, including Myanmar, Afghanistan, the South China Sea, the Taiwan Strait, and the COVID-19 pandemic that hit the world, are inseparable from China. Because China is the right man behind the scenes of all turmoil.
Taiwan would have self-determinate already without having KMT
The changed hand of power in Afghanistan in an instant, causing huge repercussions and discussions around the world. Those pro-Communist politicians in Taiwan, for example, Eric Zhu, one of the candidates for chairman of the KMT said, “President Ghani reminds us that there was a DPP president who was a troublemaker in Taiwan before 2008; without the KMT, Taiwan would not have what it is today’s prosperity.” What an empty promise, high-sounding words. It’s full of nonsense, but the opposite is true. Looking back at 1949, it was the KMT/ROC government-in-exile who fled to Taiwan; without the KMT, Taiwan had long since been self-determined by its residents and became a democratic country.
A pawn of PRC waving flag and shouting
Talk show host Zhao SK said: “Today’s Afghanistan is tomorrow’s Taiwan. The United States is not a reliable friend of Taiwan. They can easily abandon Taiwan, just as they did to Afghanistan.” Zhao himself regarded the PRC as a reliable partner, and strongly demanded that Taiwan be annexed by China, but he did not want honorarily to return to his motherland. He only wanted to be a pawn of the Communist Party in Taiwan and wave the flag as a chip of trojan horse. In his cognition, the United States should be obliged to safeguard the KMT’s vested interests in Taiwan. He believes that Taiwan is an inalienable part of China and will be annexed by China sooner or later.
It reminds us KMT’s corruption
In fact, the changes in Afghanistan made the people of Taiwan clearly see that in 1949, when the KMT had absolute superiority in air force, army, and navy, it was inferior to the true portrayal of the disintegration of the Communist Party’s Eighth Route Army, because corruption was unpopular. Besides, it is shameless to say how many high-ranking KMT officials who were hoarse and wanted the people of Taiwan to oppose the Communist Party and resist Russia now have turned into Xi’s former guests who licked the Communist Party! The world is so big that I don’t know what the national identity of these people is, is it Taiwan or China?
Take responsibility to stabilize your position
Faced with the changing situation in Afghanistan, President Tsai Ing-wen expressed his opinion: “Taiwan’s only option is to make ourselves stronger, more united and more resolute in our determination to protect ourselves. It is not our option to do nothing but rely on others for protection.” In this way, only if Taiwan stabilizes its position, it will not overturn its boat in the gutter. In fact, what is more important is that Tsai Ing-wen must let all Taiwan people know whether we are fighting for the continuation and lingering government of the ROC in exile, or are we fighting for the establishment of democracy and freedom for 23 million Taiwanese?
An important partner for U.S.-Taiwan security
This is because the United States has been authorized as the principal occupying power of Taiwan in the San Francisco Peace Treaty, and it is obliged to safeguard Taiwan’s national defense and security. But the US has absolutely no obligation to fight the PRC on behalf of the ROC and fight for who is the representative of China. Because the people of Taiwan still don’t know whether the ROC wants to represent Taiwan, China, or both? Biden said that the US should never be the builder of any country. However, as the principal occupying power of Taiwan, the US is definitely a very reliable partner in safeguarding Taiwan’s security.
God helps those who help themselves and commit to take on the mission
Therefore, the Afghan regime change hand is a good lesson for the world. Communism denies humanity as a country of evil, stay away from it. The US is the leader of peace and freedom. Let us go hand in hand with him. The US will not fight for the ROC, but will absolutely defend Taiwan’s security, democracy, and freedom. However, the establishment of Taiwan is a sacred mission that all Taiwanese must undertake and shoulder.
John Hsieh
Hayward, California
